Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.027687 0.029817 0.031956 0.034261 0.036672 0.039116 0.041778
2025-11-23 0.023418 0.026734 0.030184 0.034029 0.038180 0.042513 0.047365
2025-11-30 0.020909 0.024883 0.029124 0.033957 0.039286 0.044954 0.051413
2025-12-07 0.018663 0.023060 0.027860 0.033440 0.039702 0.046469 0.054290
2025-12-14 0.016757 0.021447 0.026673 0.032858 0.039909 0.047635 0.056675
2025-12-21 0.014991 0.019861 0.025397 0.032062 0.039773 0.048330 0.058455
2025-12-28 0.014281 0.019452 0.025427 0.032715 0.041245 0.050800 0.062202
2026-01-04 0.013357 0.018723 0.025025 0.032816 0.042037 0.052466 0.065012
2026-01-11 0.012421 0.017920 0.024485 0.032707 0.042547 0.053777 0.067391
2026-01-18 0.011934 0.017644 0.024554 0.033303 0.043868 0.056014 0.070831
2026-01-25 0.011184 0.016992 0.024126 0.033268 0.044414 0.057327 0.073186
2026-02-01 0.010529 0.016425 0.023775 0.033299 0.045017 0.058692 0.075590
2026-02-08 0.009845 0.015822 0.023395 0.033329 0.045672 0.060190 0.078246
2026-02-15 0.009103 0.015111 0.022857 0.033153 0.046079 0.061407 0.080599
2026-02-22 0.008467 0.014505 0.022423 0.033077 0.046583 0.062721 0.083051
2026-03-01 0.007712 0.013690 0.021676 0.032569 0.046523 0.063330 0.084645
2026-03-08 0.006995 0.012884 0.020905 0.031997 0.046354 0.063786 0.086035
2026-03-15 0.006262 0.012009 0.020001 0.031215 0.045888 0.063852 0.086933
2026-03-22 0.006067 0.011926 0.020178 0.031857 0.047237 0.066159 0.090564
2026-03-29 0.005707 0.011571 0.019959 0.031956 0.047879 0.067583 0.093115
2026-04-05 0.005308 0.011130 0.019599 0.031849 0.048243 0.068652 0.095224
2026-04-12 0.005144 0.011052 0.019751 0.032435 0.049507 0.070852 0.098736
2026-04-19 0.004809 0.010679 0.019460 0.032400 0.049950 0.072012 0.100958